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Processa Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (PCSA)·Q2 2021 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • PCSA advanced its pipeline and added RX-3117 (PCS3117), citing four clinical programs with addressable markets of $500 million–$1.5 billion; Q2 reported net loss of $3.2M and diluted EPS of -$0.20 as R&D/G&A increased with trial execution .
  • Management guided to near-term catalysts: PCS12852 IND filing in September, Q4 2021 interim analysis for PCS6422, and H1 2022 interim data for PCS499; biomarker assay development for PCS3117 underway with validation targeted H1 2022 .
  • Liquidity remains solid: cash/equivalents were $20.8M at 6/30, with CFO reiterating runway “through 2023” to fund ongoing trials and assay development .
  • Potential stock catalysts: enrollment progress and interim data across programs, Russell Microcap index inclusion, and clarity on biomarker-driven 3117 strategy; estimate comparisons unavailable due to lack of S&P Global consensus retrieval at time of query .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • In-licensed RX-3117 (PCS3117) with FDA orphan designation for pancreatic cancer; assays being developed to identify responders, with Phase 2B biomarker study targeted for H2 2022 .
  • Execution milestones achieved: first patient dosed in PCS6422 Phase 1B and first two patients dosed in PCS499 Phase 2B, with defined interim timelines (Q4 2021 for 6422; H1 2022 for 499) .
  • Management quote underscores cadence of catalysts: “we see a consistent cadence of upcoming catalysts and tremendous amount of near-term value creation.” — Dr. David Young (CEO) .

What Went Wrong

  • Operating expenses accelerated with clinical execution: Q2 R&D rose to $1.6M (from $427k YoY) and G&A to $1.3M (from $375k YoY), driving net loss to $3.2M (from $0.733M YoY) and EPS to -$0.20 (from -$0.13 YoY) .
  • 499 screening challenges: ~10 pre-screened NL patients didn’t meet criteria due to factors like travel burden or ulcer characterization, highlighting enrollment complexity in rare disease .
  • 6422 interim timing modestly pushed: from “near end of Q3 2021” (Q1 remarks) to “Q4 2021” (Q2 update), reflecting trial cadence and biomarker/assay workstreams .

Financial Results

Income Statement (Quarterly)

MetricQ1 2021Q2 2021
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$2.1 $3.2
Diluted EPS ($USD)-$0.14 -$0.20
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$1.5 $1.6
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$0.717 $1.300
Stock-based Comp (G&A) ($USD Millions)$0.308 (total non-cash comp across R&D & G&A) $0.674 (in G&A)

Note: Company did not disclose revenue in Q1/Q2 press releases; margins cannot be calculated from disclosed materials .

Balance Sheet Snapshot

MetricDec 31 2020Mar 31 2021Jun 30 2021
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$15.4 $23.0 $20.8
Shares Outstanding (Millions)15.5 15.6 (as of Aug 2, 2021)

Q2 Year-over-Year

MetricQ2 2020Q2 2021
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$0.733 $3.2
Diluted EPS ($USD)-$0.13 -$0.20
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$0.427 $1.6
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$0.375 $1.300

KPIs and Operational Milestones

KPIQ1 2021Q2 2021
PCS499 Phase 2B – patients dosedScreening initiated; pipeline update targets dosing within 6 weeks First two patients dosed; interim analysis aims for 8–10 patients
PCS6422 Phase 1B – statusSites initiating; first patient targeted within 30–60 days First patient dosed; interim analysis of cohorts 1–2 planned for Q4 2021
PCS12852 – IND timingIND planned Q3 2021 IND expected September; site initiation before year-end
PCS3117 (RX-3117) – license/assay devLicensed; biomarker assay development begun, validation targeted H1 2022

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash runwayThrough 2023“Enough cash to support our efforts through 2023” New
PCS12852 INDQ3 2021Submit IND in Q3 2021 File IND in September; initiate sites before year-end Maintained/Specified timing
PCS6422 interim analysisH2 2021Interim data near end of Q3 2021 Interim analysis of cohorts 1–2 in Q4 2021 Pushed back slightly
PCS499 interim analysisH1 2022Interim results H1 2022 Interim results H1 2022; enroll 8–10 patients for interim Maintained
PCS3117 biomarker validationH1 2022Assay validation targeted H1 2022 New
PCS6422 MTD determinationH2 2022Determine MTD in H2 2022 New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’20 and Q1’21)Current Period (Q2’21)Trend
R&D execution/enrollmentSites selected; dosing targeted Q2; six–ten NL sites; 4–5 oncology sites First patient (6422) and first two patients (499) dosed; interim timelines reiterated Progressing to execution
Biomarker-driven oncologyConcept established for 6422; exploratory biomarker; not disclosed due to IP 6422 biomarkers/DPD assays discussed; 3117 biomarker assay development underway Increased emphasis
Regulatory milestones (IND/FDA)12852 IND Q3; end-of-Phase 2 planning for 499 12852 IND confirmed for September; Phase 3 options for 6422/3117 tied to data On track; refined
Liquidity/financing$15.4M YE20; $10.2M private placement; $23M 3/31 $20.8M 6/30; runway through 2023; PPP loan forgiven [$163k] Strengthened visibility
Market opportunity framingMulti-$B opportunities for 6422/12852/499 Adds 3117; reiterates multi-billion potential; Russell Microcap inclusion Expanded pipeline narrative

Management Commentary

  • “During the second quarter we… in-licensed another clinical asset - RX-3117 – and will have four clinical programs with addressable markets of $500 million to $1.5 billion… we see a consistent cadence of upcoming catalysts and tremendous amount of near-term value creation.” — Dr. David Young, CEO .
  • “We have enough cash to support our efforts through 2023, while completing the 499 Phase 2B trial, the 12852 Phase 2A trial, the… maximum tolerated dose… in the 6422 Phase 1B trial, and the development of the 3117 biomarker assays.” — Dr. David Young .
  • “The increase in our net loss primarily relates to clinical trial costs… for PCS499… PCS6422… and costs we incurred licensing PCS3117.” — James Stanker, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • 6422 interim focus: metabolic impact and DPD assay selection; efficacy plus safety preferred for registrational path, with potential to go adaptive Phase 3 depending on data .
  • 3117 Phase 3 design: options include biomarker-selected patients or gemcitabine-resistant cohorts; final approach depends on Phase 2B biomarker results .
  • 499 interim: placebo response expected to be very low, informing Phase 3 sample size and FDA dialogue; interim aims for 8–10 patients .
  • Trial cost ranges: current trials (499, 6422, 12852) each ~$3–$5M; 3117 biomarker development 6–12 months; 3117 study likely around ~$3M (preliminary) .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable at time of query, so comparisons to consensus for Q2 2021 EPS and revenue cannot be provided. We attempted to retrieve S&P Global data but could not access it during this session.
  • Investors should focus on operational cadence and cash runway until revenue-generating catalysts emerge .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Pipeline execution de-risks the story: first patients dosed in 6422/499 and defined interim timelines are near-term catalysts that can re-rate the stock on clinical read-throughs .
  • Biomarker strategy is central: 3117 and 6422 programs’ biomarker work may enable patient selection advantages and registrational efficiency; watch assay validation progress through H1 2022 .
  • Liquidity supports milestones: $20.8M cash and runway through 2023 reduces financing overhang in the near term, supporting multiple data events .
  • Modest timeline shifts (6422 interim to Q4) reflect realistic cadence; maintain expectations around Q4 2021 and H1 2022 data to drive narrative and potential partnering interest .
  • Rare-disease enrollment for 499 carries execution risk; interim placebo response will be pivotal for Phase 3 design and commercial potential .
  • With no disclosed revenue and higher opex, fundamentals hinge on clinical proof points; short-term trading likely to react to interim data and index inclusion headlines; medium-term thesis rests on biomarker-enabled oncology and orphan dermatology value creation .

Additional Sources Reviewed

  • Q2 2021 8-K press release and Items 2.02/9.01 .
  • Q2 2021 earnings call transcript (remarks and Q&A) .
  • Q1 2021 8-K press release and call transcript for trend context .
  • FY2020 year-end 8-K press release for baseline and milestones .